Dividend Yields in Global Markets

My investing philosophy involves investing in high quality dividend paying companies at a fair value. I am willing to wait for 10 years or more. So many times I have been questioned on this investing approach and believe it or not, I just smile and move on. Not because I cannot respond, but because I am confident that I will have the last laugh. As an example, you may read one of my earlier posts on yield on cost.

Indian companies are not alone in paying dividends to its shareholders. Dividends are paid to common shareholders by corporations across the world, in different economies, different markets, and variety of industry segments. The characteristics of common shareholder dividends are not same. There are differences with respect to yield, frequency, how dividends are perceived, quality, and growth rates. In addition, for an international investor, effect of currency fluctuations is an added risk.

Today I am presenting the dividends yields and growth rates in three different parts of the world. It would very difficult (if not impossible) to either screen or identify every dividend paying companies in these markets. Therefore, I am using individual index and their yield to look at trends in any given market. While there may be varied arguments about quality and validity of such comparison, I still believe it is a good start to understand any given market and its policies vis-à-vis common shareholder dividends. Continue reading rest of this article…

Estimation of Beta-Based Expected Returns

monthly-dividend-portfolio-reviewI use Beta-based expected return to calculate and understand potential capital appreciate (or cash flow) from a given stock.

In today’s post, I am discussing the concept of stock’s beta value and how it helps us understand stocks expected returns.

What is Stock’s Beta Value?

In its simplistic form, beta is a measure of any individual stock’s risk (or movement) relative to the overall stock market risk (or movement). I measure Beta of any given stock relative to the S&P CNX NIFTY. Here, I am trying to understand how a stock price behaves relative to the market and how to factor in the capital appreciation into my expected returns. We can calculate Beta either using daily return (i.e. daily pricing) or on monthly returns (monthly pricing). The results should be the same because it is the on relative basis.  Continue reading rest of this article…

You can’t spend profits! Can you?

A statement that you can’t spend profits, might surprise you! Individuals might think that this is a very odd statement and perhaps incorrect. It is a correct statement and should be made as an investing proverb to be used by any type of investor. Let me present my case.

Companies make profit by selling or exchange of their products or services. At a very basic fundamental level, this can be done by making those products or services at lower associated cost (or expenses). In the end, what we all want is to somehow convert those profits into cash so that we can spend it. Some might argue that this is just semantics of words. I say, it is not! If that were the case than how can we explain the fact that many times companies report profits that are more than cash flow from operations? Take a pause and think for a moment. How can we have more profit when we are not getting that much of cash transactions? In one of my earlier post Cash Flow is Important Financial Statement, I discussed how cash flow is what ultimately drives the value of any given business. Continue reading rest of this article…

CIPLA: Stock Analysis for Long Term Investment

Cipla Limited (Cipla) is a pharmaceutical company focused on developing new formulations for existing and new drug substances. It derives approximately 55.0% of its income from operations outside India. It is making large investments in formulations facilities at Sikkim, Goa, and Indore that would make the finished forms of medicines (source: moneyvidya.com)

Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is based on last 8 years 2000 to 2008.

  • Revenue: Increasing trend with average growth of 24% (SDev. 9%).
  • Earnings per share: Increasing trend with average growth of 24% (SDev. 16%).
  • Net cash flow from operations: Overall, the net cash flow from operations has an increasing trend. However, the net cash flow is consistently less than reported net profit. I would like to understand (if possible) how company is showing continued profit is when its cash inflows are always lower.
  • Profit/Loss from operations: Looking at standalone profit only, the corporation is showing consistently increasing profits from its operations.
  • Reported net profit: Increasing trend.
  • Gross margins: Sustainable gross margin, averaging 19.5% (with a very narrow standard deviation of 1.36%). Purely on numbers alone, this may seem very good. However, I would like to understand how company is able to maintain such a tight control on its profitability.
  • Operating margins: Sustainable operating margin, averaging 22.2% (SDev. 1.20). Again, I would like to understand the narrow standard deviation. Continue reading rest of this article…

Indian Stocks Mania – April 9, 2009

Welcome to the April 9, 2009 edition of indian stocks mania. This is first edition of this carnival. It may seem that there are post that are not representative of the Indian Equity Markets. However, the concepts presented by submitters can very well be applicable to Indian Investors. Enjoy Reading!

Alex presents Understanding of Basic Support and Resistance Levels posted at moneyvidya.com

Chirag presents Common Myths and Excuses in Investing posted at moneyvidya.com

Manish presents What and When to Buy or Sell posted at moneyvidya.com

Manoj presents tryin2trade: A Guru Or A Mentor? posted at tryin2trade.

KCLau presents 5 Ways To Take Charge Of Our Finances posted at KCLau’s Money Tips, saying, “Are we doing the right things when it comes to managing our finances? Ask yourself five questions to know if you’re on the right track.`” Continue reading rest of this article…

How to do a Realistic Valuation for New IPO

In general, when a new company goes for an Initial Public Offering (IPO) it is doing that in order to generate capital for growing its business of buying assets. The question then becomes how we investors can evaluate fair value of such a stock. Since my blog is focused on do-it-yourself individual investor, I will use that as my frame of reference. That is, how does an individual investor understand the fair value of such a company? In this process I will use Reliance Power’s IPO as an example.

Let us accept this; valuing any company stock is a very subjective process. Each of us will do it a different way and come up with different arguments. This is valid for a new IPO or established company. In case of IPO, we do not have any past data to make an informed decision. So I look at company’s present state, relative comparison the market, and realistic growth potential. Let me explain this using an example of Reliance Power’s IPO. Continue reading rest of this article…

NTPC: Top Dividend Stock to Invest

National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) is a Public Sector Navratna Company, with Government of India having majority stake. NTPC is a power utility company that has business interests in thermal power generation industry. It is engaged into engineering, construction, and operation of power plants.

Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is based on last 8 years 2000 to 2008. Trend charts are shown in image below. Continue reading rest of this article…



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