Pidilite: Dividend Stock for Long Term Investment

pidilitePidilite Industries Ltd. Limited (Pidilite) is a consumer and specialties chemicals company. Its product range includes adhesives and sealants, construction and paint chemicals, automotive chemicals, art materials, industrial adhesives, industrial and textile resins, and organic pigments. It has several market leading brands that include Fevicol, cyclo, Sargent Art, hobby ideas, Dr. Fixit, ROFF, and m-seal. Two thirds of company’s revenue comes from India’s internal market. Historically, the company has developed most of its product thought a very strong in-house development program. However, in recent years, it has embarked expanding this reach by overseas acquisition and setting up overseas manufacturing units.

Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is based on last 8 years 2000 to 2008.

  • Revenue: Increasing trend with average growth of 18% (SDev. 7%).
  • Earnings per share: Increasing trend with average growth of 20% (SDev. 18%). This shows very high year-over-year variability.
  • Net cash flow from operations: Overall, the net cash flow from operations has an increasing trend. For most part, the net cash flow has been very close to the reported net profit. However, since 2007, it is less than reported net profits. Not a good observation.
  • Profit/Loss from operations: Looking at standalone profits only, the corporation is showing consistently increasing profits from its operations. Good observation.
  • Reported net profit: Increasing trend. Good observation
  • Gross margins: A slow downward trend on gross margins. 2008 gross margins lower than historical average of 16.5% (narrow stdev. of 1.36%). Still not an alarmingly low level. Neutral observation.
  • Operating margins: Operating margins in-line with historical average. Neutral observation.

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The Tale of Two Companies

This is about Satyam Saga. Most of the articles and comments I have read in business media focus on tangibles like revenue, profits, number of customers, etc. So in today’s post I am discussing my view of Satyam Saga. My focus is more on the intangible issues that are hidden and may not visible to common investor.

I would like begin with commending the authorities who made this transition smooth, swift, and without much ado. The use of word authorities here is a proxy for industry association, company law board, ministry officials, and other unknown institutions. I believe if this situation had prolonged and quick decisions were not made, Satyam would have went for a toss, and it would have had a negative impact on Indian outsourcing business. The short term implications would have been far reaching somewhat similar to Lehman Brothers.

One company is Tech Mahindra (TM). The other one is not Satyam. My personal viewpoint about Satyam is that it does not have wide moat in the supply chain. It operates on a business model which uses labor arbitrage as its USP. It is relatively easy and manageable for customers to shift the vendor and still not have any significant impact on their operations. I do not have any intention to offend Satyam folks. However, one has to be pragmatic and take into account how their customer base (i.e. international companies across the developed world) views them as a company. It is viewed as Wal-Mart of software outsourcing industry. The second company I would like to include here is Larsen and Toubro (LnT). Continue reading rest of this article…

Dividend Yields in Global Markets

My investing philosophy involves investing in high quality dividend paying companies at a fair value. I am willing to wait for 10 years or more. So many times I have been questioned on this investing approach and believe it or not, I just smile and move on. Not because I cannot respond, but because I am confident that I will have the last laugh. As an example, you may read one of my earlier posts on yield on cost.

Indian companies are not alone in paying dividends to its shareholders. Dividends are paid to common shareholders by corporations across the world, in different economies, different markets, and variety of industry segments. The characteristics of common shareholder dividends are not same. There are differences with respect to yield, frequency, how dividends are perceived, quality, and growth rates. In addition, for an international investor, effect of currency fluctuations is an added risk.

Today I am presenting the dividends yields and growth rates in three different parts of the world. It would very difficult (if not impossible) to either screen or identify every dividend paying companies in these markets. Therefore, I am using individual index and their yield to look at trends in any given market. While there may be varied arguments about quality and validity of such comparison, I still believe it is a good start to understand any given market and its policies vis-à-vis common shareholder dividends. Continue reading rest of this article…

CIPLA: Stock Analysis for Long Term Investment

Cipla Limited (Cipla) is a pharmaceutical company focused on developing new formulations for existing and new drug substances. It derives approximately 55.0% of its income from operations outside India. It is making large investments in formulations facilities at Sikkim, Goa, and Indore that would make the finished forms of medicines (source: moneyvidya.com)

Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is based on last 8 years 2000 to 2008.

  • Revenue: Increasing trend with average growth of 24% (SDev. 9%).
  • Earnings per share: Increasing trend with average growth of 24% (SDev. 16%).
  • Net cash flow from operations: Overall, the net cash flow from operations has an increasing trend. However, the net cash flow is consistently less than reported net profit. I would like to understand (if possible) how company is showing continued profit is when its cash inflows are always lower.
  • Profit/Loss from operations: Looking at standalone profit only, the corporation is showing consistently increasing profits from its operations.
  • Reported net profit: Increasing trend.
  • Gross margins: Sustainable gross margin, averaging 19.5% (with a very narrow standard deviation of 1.36%). Purely on numbers alone, this may seem very good. However, I would like to understand how company is able to maintain such a tight control on its profitability.
  • Operating margins: Sustainable operating margin, averaging 22.2% (SDev. 1.20). Again, I would like to understand the narrow standard deviation. Continue reading rest of this article…

NTPC: Top Dividend Stock to Invest

National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) is a Public Sector Navratna Company, with Government of India having majority stake. NTPC is a power utility company that has business interests in thermal power generation industry. It is engaged into engineering, construction, and operation of power plants.

Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is based on last 8 years 2000 to 2008. Trend charts are shown in image below. Continue reading rest of this article…



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