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	<title>TIPBlog.in &#187; asset allocation</title>
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		<title>Various Investment Opportunities &#8211; My Explicit No List</title>
		<link>http://www.tipblog.in/asset-allocation/various-investment-opportunites-my-explicit-no-list/</link>
		<comments>http://www.tipblog.in/asset-allocation/various-investment-opportunites-my-explicit-no-list/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Apr 2010 19:53:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>TIP Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[asset allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exit strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial instruments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investment opportunities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sin companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trouble at real estate companies]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.tipblog.in/?p=1949</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[my "explicit no list", is driven by my own ability to understand them. Their objective, reasons for existence, and logic behind them does not jive with my comfort factor. They do not jive with my investment thought process. Dealing in them does not give me confidence of success. So I stay away from them. No broker, agent, advisor, planner, friend, family member can sway that. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="aligncenter" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family:  verdana,geneva;"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-1953" title="456261_which_way" src="http://www.tipblog.in/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/456261_which_way.jpg" alt="456261_which_way" width="210" height="158" /></span></span><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;">In general, I have  observed that it is easy for us to say, &#8220;I can do this&#8221;, &#8220;I will do this&#8221;. We  tend to always say &#8220;yes&#8221; or &#8220;may be&#8221; for almost anything. Whether directly or  indirectly, we hesitate to say &#8220;explicit no&#8221; for various reasons. Some of the  reasons are; we want to keep doors open for us in future, we are not sure of  certain things, many times somebody said so it could possibly have some bearing,  on many occasions its just does not effect me so haan bolne mai kya jata hai,  etc, etc. Same way we apply similar philosophy for investments (or trading). </span></span></p>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;">Almost all of us have some strategy, some technique, and some approach, that we  believe works. I am in the same boat. We jump on to something at a drop of a hat  hoping it will work. Here also, the opinion or reason is so strong, we find it  hard to say &#8220;no&#8221;. Reading few lines we tend to believe it will  work.</span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;">I receive emails  requesting my thoughts or opinions about a particular stock. Many times its just  a one liner asking about the particular company, many times with certain news  events, and many with little blurb about the company. If I do not respond in  less than a week, then you should consider it has been ignored. Lately, I have  bunch of emails regarding real estate companies. Is there an reason why suddenly  so much interest in real estate companies? <span id="more-1949"></span></span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;">I was pondering  what to do with these emails. I decided to jot down few lines to discuss what  are &#8220;explicit no&#8221; for me in my investment thought process. So here I  go:</span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><strong>No margins based  investing:</strong> This is a no brainer. One of my trader friend asked me, &#8220;&#8230;so  you avoid it&#8221;. My response was, &#8220;I do not even think about it. It is not in my  investment vocabulary&#8221;. </span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><strong>Do not short  stocks:</strong> In my view, shorting of stocks is a form of speculation. I do not  understand the logic behind shorting stocks. What I mean by this is, it is  designed for folks who create this hysteria of end of the world and then go on  to make money. You and me as an individual have no control over this. SENSEX  went from 20K to 8K, on what basis? Speculation? or folks who have strength to  take it down? </span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><strong>No options,  futures, derivatives:</strong> Here also, I do not understand the logic or reasoning for  such instruments. All these are devised to trade contracts, or linked  securities, etc. Why not trade it directly in its original form? Why do you have  to create this inter linking or derivates? So they you can earn some fees or  commisions? some examples are ULIPs, commodity furtures, Gold/Silver ETFs, etc.  These are all focused on some kind of arbitrage.</span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><strong>No mutual fund  investing:</strong> Whenever I say this, readers of this blog present counter arguments  about its benefits. To me, if I do not trust myself with my own money, then  how can I trust another fund manager? Sometime in future, when I can find some  time, I will discuss in more detail. In the meantime you may read some of my  thoughts on <strong><a href="http://www.tipblog.in/2009/02/introduction/">various participants in financial services industry</a></strong>. My peeve with them  is lack of accountability. They work on the philosophy of; You do not know  anything about stock market. So give me your money and I will manage it for fee.  But I do not even assure safety of your capital (so what the heck the fee is for  ?). I do not take risk on negative. But I take huge bonus on positive. </span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><strong>No sin companies:</strong> These are tobacco and hard liquor companies. This is a personal choice and  nothing do to with folks associated with this business. </span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;"><strong>No real  estate companies:</strong> I own one house and one apartment which is used by my  immediate family members i.e. parents, siblings, myself. They are fully paid  and hence no loans. Since, I have already spent enough money in real estate, I  do not look into real estate companies. No more allocation to real estate.  Hopefully this answers why I have not been responding to emails asking  my opinion about real estate companies. </span></span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;"><strong>Do not hold  non-conviction stocks:</strong> What this means is, I will not keep holding on to shares  of companies that I have lost my initial conviction. Let me explain with couple  of examples;</span></span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">(a) Sometime back LNT wanted to buy tainted Satyam. I did not  subscribe to this thought process. Had LNT acquired Satyam, I would have sold  all my LNT shares. You may read my thoughts on why I planned the LNT <strong><a href="http://www.tipblog.in/commentary/the-tale-of-two-companies/" target="_blank">exit  strategy</a></strong>. </span></span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">(b) If I do  not think I will buy when 25% down (independent of allocation), then there is no  point in buying a given stock in first place. During last year, I bought few  stocks like graphite, hawkins, ABCIL, etc. At this point in time, I am  convinced that I will buy more if they drop by 25% or more. There are no  significant events that puts a question mark in my mind. The events here does  not mean business challenges. It means M&amp;A activies, signficiant changes in  company fundamentals, scams, etc. I will sell it the day I have doubt about long  term expected return. Continue to hold and pondering what to do is not an  investment strategy. </span></span></span></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">As you can  see, I do not question the existence of these financial instruments or  companies. All of these instruments are devised, created, and traded  for specific purpose. One needs tune yourself, orient yourself, and have setup  to deal with those type of instruments. Just because it is simple to trade on  your computer screen, it is not a justification to use them, and think you can may  quick bucks. </span></span></span></p>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">Almost all  of the items above, in my &#8221;explicit no list&#8221;, is driven by my own ability to  understand them. Their objective, reasons for existence, and logic behind them  does not jive with my comfort factor. They do not jive with my investment  thought process. Dealing in them does not give me confidence of success. So  I stay away from them. No broker, agent, advisor, planner, friend, family  member can sway that. </span></span></span></p>
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<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: verdana,geneva;"><span style="line-height: 17px;">What is your explicit no list? Why? Can you share them below?<br />
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