Goals and Strategy: Source of Mess Up in Personal Portfolio

1133804_sign_success_and_failureAs a do-it-yourself investor, I enjoy the process of investing much more than finding my next company I will invest in. Admittedly, the process is much more challenging than finding the winning stocks. Yes, you read it right! Investing process is very difficult in many different contexts. Managing the portfolio requires wearing different types of hats. Sometimes you have act and behave like a leader, sometimes play the role of manager, and on many occasions you work like an employee.


Most of the investors spend a significant amount of time in looking at the quantitative part of the company analysis. We arrange data in different formats, different time scales, compare with analyst, check out google to see what others have to say, etc. In short, search and screen multiple stocks, collect data, and present observations and results. This is all about execution and is similar to what an employee will do. Is that really important?  Have you asked yourself:

  • Why this specific type of analysis?
  • How you determine earnings per share?
  • Is it only necessary to look at last one year or last three year or more?
  • Do you include dividends?
  • How do you decide multiples?
  • How do you decide value? Continue reading rest of this article…

ABB Buyout Offer – What Should I Do?

ABB group, the parent company of ABB India, made a public offer to increase its stake in ABB India. The company wants to increase its stake from approximately 52% to 75%. The buy price being offered is Rs 900 per share (34% premium to May 14 closing price). As per the annoucement, the reason for increasing the stake is “facilitate the long-term development of ABB’s business in India”.

Investors like me, who are investing for long term and practice buy-and-hold philosophy, need to put these types of corporate events under the lens. Buy-and-hold in real life is not blindly holding any stock forever. What it means is; one should continue to hold the stocks as long as it is meeting portfolio objectives. And the investor has an expectation that it will continue down the path.

I have owned ABB shares since 2005. I believe this buyout offer is significant event. I should evaluate if it makes sense for me to continue holding shares in this company. Continue reading rest of this article…

Various Investment Opportunities – My Explicit No List

456261_which_wayIn general, I have observed that it is easy for us to say, “I can do this”, “I will do this”. We tend to always say “yes” or “may be” for almost anything. Whether directly or indirectly, we hesitate to say “explicit no” for various reasons. Some of the reasons are; we want to keep doors open for us in future, we are not sure of certain things, many times somebody said so it could possibly have some bearing, on many occasions its just does not effect me so haan bolne mai kya jata hai, etc, etc. Same way we apply similar philosophy for investments (or trading).


Almost all of us have some strategy, some technique, and some approach, that we believe works. I am in the same boat. We jump on to something at a drop of a hat hoping it will work. Here also, the opinion or reason is so strong, we find it hard to say “no”. Reading few lines we tend to believe it will work.


I receive emails requesting my thoughts or opinions about a particular stock. Many times its just a one liner asking about the particular company, many times with certain news events, and many with little blurb about the company. If I do not respond in less than a week, then you should consider it has been ignored. Lately, I have bunch of emails regarding real estate companies. Is there an reason why suddenly so much interest in real estate companies? Continue reading rest of this article…

What does Long Term Investing Mean?

Ask this question to people across different spectrum and you will get as many answers as there are spectrums.

  • Conservatives will tell you stock market is nothing short of gambling. It demonstrates lack of understanding what stock market really means.
  • Broker will tell you buy today, sell tomorrow. It shows what is the motivation; jacking up transactions and fees. Holding for more than few days is not in his interest.
  • I can go on an on like this …. but you get the point. Right?


We all want to succeed in making some good money, some quick money, and/or some money. It is my belief that most of the individuals will lose money in stock market over their lifetime. Whether we admit it publicly or not, it is a reality. I do not doubt that people sincerely want to succeed at investing, but the only issue is they do not know how. So they try to follow something that appears to be succeeding. A fund manager or business honcho mentions some stocks or strategy that is doing good in the market, and they jump on board. Only to realize later that they are late to the party. With little drop they jump off and then try to latch on something else, or many times they say, “I am out of the market”. It is a fashion to use market lingo’s. Continue reading rest of this article…

Social Networking: How It is Relevant to Me?

1106489_networkSocial Media is a new buzz in business circles and marketing machinery. If you have an email address and read popular news articles on internet, then it is hard for you to avoid the talk of social media. It is the new in-thing in today’s World Wide Web. There are many different connotations of social media such as social is influence marketing, social is conversation, social is inbound marketing, social is permission marketing, social is community, and many more. At a fundamental level, it is nothing but organization of social groups. I think of it as similar to group of people in our building, our society, our group of colleagues in work place, etc albeit much larger now. One aspect about such web based social groups is that we may not know folks in our society (physically close), but many of us will probably know much more about somebody we have never met.

Naysayers view it as irrelevant because there is lack of privacy, you should not pour your soul into public, has no ROI, its nothing but new tool for marketing, and it is just a platform to keep in touch. Yaysayers view it as new trend in modern society, it is a new marketing opportunity, they want to leverage the presence of large number people, it is where the customers are, that where most of the conversation is taking place, and many more such arguments. Continue reading rest of this article…

Hyderabad Industries – Continuing the Discussion

ist1_6855981-discussionRecently, I looked into Hyderabad Industries Limited (HDIL) and discussed my analysis on this blog. There were few comments and mild discussion with reference to my conclusion and turnaround aspect of the HDIL. Simultaneously, I also posted the same analysis on Moneyvidya’s blog. Over at Moneyvidya’s blog, the discussion was also centered on similar characteristics of HDIL. There were few good points which I believe would be worth mentioning on my blog too. Therefore, I am presenting those points here with some additional thoughts. Readers can refer to the original discussion. There are two different aspects in this conversation. One aspect is about how this commentator critics my observations and my analysis. It would be fair to say the analysis was trashed, challenged to check the pricing after 6 months, and was asked to eat my pudding. Well, I think it is better to keep this part of the comments aside because it is not going to help us learn anything. Continue reading rest of this article…

Gold: Should I be Investing ?

gold-bars-3Gold is going bonkers. At present, all it knows is how to climb up. Central banks around the world seem to have caught the bug of buying gold. China wants it, India bought it, Sri Lanka bought it, Russia openly expressed interest, and probably few more. One common theme in all central bankers buying gold seems to be the desire to maintain the value of its assets. Since the continued supply of printed dollar is flooding the global markets, individual nations believe there will be reduction in value of dollar. And hence these central banks want to hold their assets in gold (rather than dollar). Few other factors that one can think of are as follows:

  • Historically, gold is a perceived as safe harbor against collapsing economy, political unrest, collapsing currency, etc. And situations like US/UK sovereign debt, Dubai, Japan’s losing economy, etc does not help. This kind of environment only fuels the gold binge. Continue reading rest of this article…


~