TIPBlog Portfolio Update: 2009 Year End

UpdateWhat a year 2009 was? At the beginning of the year, the stock market was trying to find how deep the abyss was. Every other participant in the equity market was trying to run away like there was no tomorrow. Fast forward to second half of the year. The story changed and now the stock market is trying to find its peak. It was in true sense a roller coaster ride.


When the equity market goes up like it did in later part of the year, it gives a false sense of confidence in our abilities to pick stocks. Irrespective of what one thinks, any company stock you had touched in second of 2009, it has zoomed. It really did not matter which company stock it was! Lately, I have seen quite a bit of emails trying to point me towards how the stocks that I negated (or did not pick?) have zoomed up and made them money. I do feel happy for everybody who made good money in 2009. I wish you had shared those winners with readers of this blog. We all want to make money here. Right? Continue reading rest of this article…

Screen Testing Four Small Cap Companies

Readers of this blog have few suggestions for investment ideas or stocks. They have requested to provide my comments and my observations about these stocks. Following are my thoughts. Before you go through them, please understand that these observations are for my objectives.


MIC Electronics Limited (MIC): The Company is a global leader (who made them global leader?) in the design, development, and manufacturing of LED Video Displays, LED lighting solutions, and Embedded Systems/Telecom Software. Most of its revenue come from LED Video Displays, that have become an integral part of sports stadiums, transportation hubs, digital theatres and theme parks, advertisements and public information displays. Continue reading rest of this article…

Free Licenses for MPROFIT Portfolio Management Software

mprofit_boxcoverOnce in a while, I discuss about topics other than investing such as THE HINDU’s website design at foreign source and my thoughts about it. That particular post resulted in passionate discussion on both side of the aisle. There was one theme that seemed to be echoed by quite a few commentators, and that was; there are companies and entrepreneurs that are focusing on developing products. Many entrepreneurs are in fact attempting to develop solutions for Indian consumers. Continue reading rest of this article…

Social Networking: How It is Relevant to Me?

1106489_networkSocial Media is a new buzz in business circles and marketing machinery. If you have an email address and read popular news articles on internet, then it is hard for you to avoid the talk of social media. It is the new in-thing in today’s World Wide Web. There are many different connotations of social media such as social is influence marketing, social is conversation, social is inbound marketing, social is permission marketing, social is community, and many more. At a fundamental level, it is nothing but organization of social groups. I think of it as similar to group of people in our building, our society, our group of colleagues in work place, etc albeit much larger now. One aspect about such web based social groups is that we may not know folks in our society (physically close), but many of us will probably know much more about somebody we have never met.

Naysayers view it as irrelevant because there is lack of privacy, you should not pour your soul into public, has no ROI, its nothing but new tool for marketing, and it is just a platform to keep in touch. Yaysayers view it as new trend in modern society, it is a new marketing opportunity, they want to leverage the presence of large number people, it is where the customers are, that where most of the conversation is taking place, and many more such arguments. Continue reading rest of this article…

Graphite India Ltd – Good Small Cap Stock for Long Term Holding

graphite_indiaGraphite India Limited (GRAPHITE) is the largest manufacturer of graphite electrodes (90% of the revenue). It also provides impervious graphite equipments and GRP/ERP pipes and tanks (10% of revenue). It end customers, and applications are in metallurgical (ferrous & nonferrous), chemical and process, and aerospace industry.

This is small cap which has potential in my long term buy and hold because it operates in niche market with high entry barriers. I want to understand its financial management and whether it meets my buying criteria.


Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is from 2000 to 2009. Continue reading rest of this article…

Estimating Benjamin Graham Number

Graham number is one of the five method I use to estimate the fair value of a given company share that I am willing to pay. I have provided the formula I use and a very brief description. However, over the last few weeks, I have received questions requesting to help explain why this particular formula and is there any rationale on how this is derived. So here it is…..

Graham’s view was the price-to-earnings ratio should not be more than 15. At the same time, price-to-book value should not be more than 1.5. He also mentioned that it would be justifiable to have higher P/B ratio if PE ratio is below 15.

With this thought process, Graham proposed that the product of these two parameters should not be more than 22.5 Continue reading rest of this article…

Future Order Book: What Does it Mean?

1193474_dark_question_1This post is based on a question from one of the readers, I sometimes see research reports of various broker-houses. They show future EPS. They say company has orders lined-up in order book. I am not sure how to get order book details and Future EPS of a company”. I thought this was an interesting question in a sense that how it is interpreted by us as individual investors. Like everything, this also can be interpreted in multiple different ways.


In my view, there is no effective way to measure the impact of future order book on future EPS. Theoretically, it is possible to translate this into future EPS. But I believe it can only be done by company executives. It is company insiders who know the operating cost, raw material cost, possibility of order completion, taxation, and when the revenue is likely to be realized (i.e. received by the company). I cannot understand how brokerage houses or independent analyst can make that estimate.  I would like to know if anybody can share the methodology? To me, it only has a marketing value, nothing beyond that. Let me use an example. Continue reading rest of this article…

Determining ROI from TIPBlog

ROI_imageWe as human beings are always objective or goal oriented. We may not know it, but sub-consciously, we are always attempting to do a given task or an activity towards certain goal. Many folks will not agree with me, because there is a perception that ROI is always related to money. To me, it is not. If I spend time with my family, its because the pleasure I get (that’s an ROI). If I did not get that pleasure, overtime it will automatically create a rift. Similarly, if I play any team sports, or go out with friends, it builds our relationship, it builds camaraderie, a sense of togetherness. It is not necessarily for getting any money in return, but to be part of social community. You cannot live alone in this world, right? Keeping with this, the question I am trying to answer today is what is my ROI from this blog? I need to know what I am getting out of this blog. Here also, I will use the framework provided by Avinash. There are multiple parameters to determine ROI from the blog. Continue reading rest of this article…



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