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Determining ROI from TIPBlog

TIP Guy 31 December 2009 blogging, commentary, life 8 Comments

ROI_imageWe as human beings are always objective or goal oriented. We may not know it, but sub-consciously, we are always attempting to do a given task or an activity towards certain goal. Many folks will not agree with me, because there is a perception that ROI is always related to money. To me, it is not. If I spend time with my family, its because the pleasure I get (that’s an ROI). If I did not get that pleasure, overtime it will automatically create a rift. Similarly, if I play any team sports, or go out with friends, it builds our relationship, it builds camaraderie, a sense of togetherness. It is not necessarily for getting any money in return, but to be part of social community. You cannot live alone in this world, right? Keeping with this, the question I am trying to answer today is what is my ROI from this blog? I need to know what I am getting out of this blog. Here also, I will use the framework provided by Avinash. There are multiple parameters to determine ROI from the blog. Continue reading rest of this article…

Three Small Caps Stocks – Not for my Long Term Buy and Hold

TIP Guy 30 December 2009 screening, stocks 20 Comments

1035790_pick_up_drop_off_onlyWhat do you do when stock market, and hence all stocks, are trading at a much higher price than you would be willing to pay? If you are like any other value investor or like me, then you would continue your reading and prepare your watch list. On many occasions, you would like the stock but unfortunately they are trading at a premium for pulling the buy trigger. In early December, I had shortlisted five small cap stocks for further reading. Few readers namely, arunsg, Young@market, Rutwik, Aditya, anonymous, and two more in emails presented their comments on the list. Just looking at these comments, Aegis Logistics and Numeric Power Systems seem to be preferred companies.


I completed my analysis and presented a discussion about Aegis Logistics Limited. I also liked Graphite India Limited (will present my discussion shortly). I initiated starter positions in both of these companies. So now the question is what about remaining three companies? Continue reading rest of this article…

Stock Market for 2010: What’s Your Prediction ?

TIP Guy 28 December 2009 commentary, life 18 Comments

265713_confusionFor many of us retail investors, there is a perennial dilemma about two issues. One is about how we should invest and where we should invest. The second one is we always say (or crib) we do not have big enough capital. We never get out of this loop. Which stock to buy or where to invest is decided based on what was read yesterday. Everybody from the top VP of financial firm to any small investors like us, we keep churning out ideas, themes, predictions, estimates, etc. But we do not have conviction in our own ideas. Honestly, I love reading all those ideas as they do make some interesting reading material, but that’s not the way to manage your personal portfolio. .

As year 2009 is nearing completion, I have been reading new predictions and themes for year 2010. It is quite amusing to read what folks have to say. I always wonder do any of these forecasters follow their own advice. Could we take a peek at their portfolios? Here are few excerpts: Continue reading rest of this article…

Investing Success Comes from Conviction and Executing Your Ideas

TIP Guy 25 December 2009 commentary, dividends, life 11 Comments

1133804_sign_success_and_failureDo you know how many people investing and/or trading in equity markets truly succeed over long term? Success here means increase in wealth over their investing lifetimes. This group of people includes individual retail folks and professionals. I am sure many of us would have no clue.  I do not have any hard core reference to share; however, I can recall reading various percentages that range from 1% to 7%. Without going in specific data points, my observation has been every time this is less than 10% of investing population. More than 90% of the folks will lose money in equity markets over their investing lifetime. Quite startling but this is very true.

We as individuals focus too much on one or two big time success or multi baggers, but ignore the importance of sustainability and consistency. We fall into the “Chalta hai” trap. Long term success is not built on few multi-baggers. Long term success is built on multiple average successes that are sustainable over time. Continue reading rest of this article…

Aegis Logistics – Good Small Cap Stock for Long Term Holding

TIP Guy 22 December 2009 analysis, stocks 17 Comments

logoAegis Logistics Ltd (AEGISCHEM) is focused in supply management of oil and gas logistics. Liquid Terminal Division provides storage and terminal facility for oil and chemical products. Gas Terminal Division provides imports, storage, and distribution of petroleum products like LPG and propane. It services are related to sourcing of product, storage and port operations, arranging road and pipeline movement, shipping, and integrated supply chain management. This is small caps which has potential for long term buy and hold because it operates in infrastructure sector and has good financial management.

Trend Analysis

The whole reason for any business to exist is to generate sales revenue and make more profits. At a minimum, the parameters listed below should have continuously increasing trends. All the data below is from 2000 to 2009. Continue reading rest of this article…

Simple Blog Analytics to Measure TIPBlog’s Progress

TIP Guy 19 December 2009 blogging, life, review 10 Comments

ist1_8982997-blog-orangeIt has been almost 10 months now since I have started this blog. It started as means to share my journey and also to keep track of investment data that I generate for my personal investments. May 2009 was the last time I had discussed about traffic for TIPBlog. At that time, the blog was new and hence I presented the most cliché metrics such as number of visits and page views. In today’s post I am reviewing it again, but this time it is in the context of the metrics for social media. I am using frame work presented at Occam Razor by Avinash Kaushik (AK). AK’s reputation is; he is considered as one of the experts in Web Analytics. The essence of AK’s frame work is using trends in six key performances matrices. There is no absolute value which demonstrates success. AK suggests focusing on trends; they should be going in right direction. The six key performance indicators for measuring success of a blog are as follows: Continue reading rest of this article…

Hyderabad Industries – Continuing the Discussion

TIP Guy 15 December 2009 opinion, stocks 12 Comments

ist1_6855981-discussionRecently, I looked into Hyderabad Industries Limited (HDIL) and discussed my analysis on this blog. There were few comments and mild discussion with reference to my conclusion and turnaround aspect of the HDIL. Simultaneously, I also posted the same analysis on Moneyvidya’s blog. Over at Moneyvidya’s blog, the discussion was also centered on similar characteristics of HDIL. There were few good points which I believe would be worth mentioning on my blog too. Therefore, I am presenting those points here with some additional thoughts. Readers can refer to the original discussion. There are two different aspects in this conversation. One aspect is about how this commentator critics my observations and my analysis. It would be fair to say the analysis was trashed, challenged to check the pricing after 6 months, and was asked to eat my pudding. Well, I think it is better to keep this part of the comments aside because it is not going to help us learn anything. Continue reading rest of this article…

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