Reflecting back on Year 2008, I think it will go down in history as a very significant turning point in the global economy. I also think that, due to events in Year 2008, other developed economies and emerging economics will evolve in different way. By different way I mean with reference to how it interacts with US economy. For the last few decades US economy was the engine of growth for global economy. US economy with its ingenuity, entrepreneurial business environment, innovative mindset, institutions, and rule of law was the global consumer. The other economies were happy being the supplier. Moving forward, this status will be challenged depending upon how US policy makers deal with the aftermath of events in 2008. While US business environment is still very much entrepreneurial, it remains to be seen how it will adapt to the new economic environment. History shows it has always adapted. Time will tell if it does this time also? By no means I am professing dooms day scenario, all I am saying is things will be different than what/how it used to be. How different, I do not know. Continue reading rest of this article…


Do Not Enter “The Channels” Otherwise….
I buy stocks with an objective to hold it forever. This, for most people, is very difficult to grasp. I started investing about nine years ago (eight of which are being buy-and-hold investor). In these eight years, I can count on my fingers how many times I have sold a given stock. Conversely, I will have to check my records to determine how many times I have purchased a stock.
My friends and acquaintances keep telling me if you never sell a stock how you will make money. You need to buy low and sell high to make money and increase your wealth. I politely ask them only one question, “You have been buying low and selling high for xx number of years. What is your wealth?” Almost every time the voice starts stammering.
To some of them, who are close and good friends, I put a proposition to them. I tell them, since your “first investment” to “as of today”, tell me honestly what has been the real percentage appreciation to your “wealth” (chuckle!). If it is more than my “wealth” appreciation (again more chuckle!), then I will transfer my entire portfolio to you. If not, then vice-a-versa. What is surprising to me is many start mental calculations; hmmm, not including tax, and transaction, ignoring commissions, not considering my subscription fees, blah blah blah…. I end my conversation there itself. Beyond that it’s a waste of time because they do not understand the meaning of total return or wealth. Discussing these two aspects is a topic in itself so I will leave this for future post. Continue reading rest of this article…